An early warning procedure based on coupling short-time weather forecasting and numerical slope analysis
An early warning procedure based on coupling short-time weather forecasting and numerical slope analysis
Rainfall-induced debris flows and avalanches represent an impending hazard in some densely populated areas of Campania Region, Italy, which are mantled by loose air-fall volcanic ashes. The development of reliable early warning systems is then a strong need. The studies that have been carried out in the last twenty years, which include the long-lasting monitoring of some well instrumented slopes, have allowed to obtain a good knowledge about the hydraulic and mechanical properties of these soils. A further step should be now the assessment in real time of their response to expected rainfall aimed at setting up reliable early warning systems. A procedure that exploits the available short-term weather forecasts and a numerical analysis of the potential slope response to rainfall based on field monitoring of the initial conditions, is proposed.
M. Pirone; G. Forte; A. Santo; Gianfranco Urciuoli; Luciano Picarelli
18th European Conference on Soil Mechanics and Geotechnical Engineering (ECSMGE2024)
B - Geohazards
Contact Information
- Secretary General - Dr A M McNamara
- Email: [email protected]
- Phone: +44 20 7040 8154
- City, University of London
- Northampton Square
- London EC1V 0HB. United Kingdom